Saturday, December 29, 2012

Horrible News for Republican Party: GOP unlikely to oust Boehner as speaker of the House

If these feckless idiots in the GOP don’t have the stones to replace a RINO like John Boehner, then they deserve to get their politically asses kicked by President Obama at every turn.  This is indeed a shameful bunch of cowards!

I washed my hands of this Party over 10 years ago and I still don’t regret my decision.

It’s a truth that fire-breathing conservatives will have to handle: John Boehner isn’t going anywhere as speaker of the House.

Boehner’s grip on leadership is no doubt weaker after a faction of his caucus blocked his “Plan B” to avoid the fiscal cliff. But not to the point of peril, according to Republican lawmakers from across the spectrum and GOP aides involved in leadership machinations.

When Boehner walks onto the House floor on Jan. 3, there’s an outside chance he‘ll see low double-digit defections – and those in and around his camp recognize it. The speaker’s fate has become a much-discussed topic as the fiscal cliff approaches and the Senate conducts last-minute talks this weekend — so far without a deal — to avoid across-the-board tax hikes.

But even staunch conservatives admit what’s become abundantly clear within the House Republican Conference.

“John Boehner is our Speaker,” said Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah), who has one of the most conservative voting records in the House. “Harry Reid may not like it, but he is our guy.”

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who had a turbulent tenure atop the chamber, put it more bluntly: “I think somebody could run. They would get some votes. And they would lose.”

Can’t beat something with nothing

Rep. Tom Price (R-Ga.)? House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.)? Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.)? Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.)? Please, House GOP insiders say.

Not only have none of them signaled they will challenge Boehner, they are actively supporting his reelection.

No other rank-and-file Republican has publicly challenged him either, at least not at this point. The main anti-Boehner grumbling is coming from conservative media outlets like Breitbart and Hot Air, and outside groups such as American Majority Action.

In an interview with POLITICO, Gingrich — who speaks frequently with House Republicans and knows a few things about what it takes to topple a speaker — didn’t even let a reporter finish his question before he said, “The answer is no.” Boehner isn’t at all vulernable, in the Georgia Republican’s view.

“No one in the current establishment would run on short notice in the middle of this,” he said. “Think about it. Legislative bodies are about mathematics: Cantor will stick with Boehner, McCarthy will stick with Boehner, Paul Ryan will stick with Boehner. … Cathy [McMorris Rodgers] got elected with Boehner’s help.

He went on, “[Rep.] Greg Walden is close to Boehner. Pete Sessions got appointed to Rules by Boehner. Anyone who could get a majority of the [GOP C]onference is for Boehner. I have some concerns about his strategy and doing better, but I think the fact is John is the speaker, he is going to be the speaker.”

Gingrich, who was forced to step down as speaker in 1998, insisted Boehner wouldn’t be weakened even if 10 Republicans voted against him. It would take 17 Republicans to vote against Boehner to block his reelection, but outright replacing him would require a critical mass of the Republican Conference.

“I think I lost eight,” Gingrich said of the vote for speaker at the start of the 105th Congress, although the actual number was nine. “When it’s over, you’re speaker.”

There are myriad other reasons why no one inside or outside of the current Republican hierarchy would want to be speaker.
Both Cantor and McCarthy benefit from not having to take full responsibility for the legislative brawls of the upcoming 113th Congress.

And Ryan, who is presumed to be eyeing a run for the White House in 2016, can hardly afford to have his brand tarnished by leading a gang of House Republicans with single-digit approval ratings.

More here

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