Wednesday, March 16, 2016

New York Times Declares Trump Can Reach 1,237 Delegates Before Convention



I’ve been saying this for the past couple of weeks that Donald Trump will get to the magic number of 1,237 before the convention and make all this attention-getting chatter moot. 
Pundits, cable shows, columnists have to fill space and what better way to do it by stirring the pot of intrigue to a forgone conclusion?  This NY Times article is the closer to saying it’s a done deal than most other outlets.  But, if one is a Ted Cruz supporter, you won’t want to admit this. 

New YorkTimes reports Donald J. Trump’s series of victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Senator Marco Rubio of Florida out of the presidential race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position.

Here are some ways the Republican nominating contest could unfold. Try adjusting the sliders to see how the outcomes change. Each line in the chart represents one possible outcome. See Democratic scenarios »

If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

But Mr. Trump still needs to win most of the remaining delegates to avoid a contested convention.

If he continues his current performance and wins a series of key states — like Arizona, California and New York — he would get the needed delegates.

Mr. Trump will probably need to win California, which has 172 delegates. California is winnable for Mr. Trump, but it could be a difficult state for him. California includes a mix of well-educated voters who could support Mr. Kasich and conservative voters who could support Mr. Cruz.



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1 comment:

  1. Will it matter if Trump reaches the bar of 1237 votes before the convention?

    ReplyDelete

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